Daily close notes

Every US trading day, after the close. 44 notes. Weekly reviews and research are in the Research Library.

October 2026

  1. Rate cut fails to rally stocks as yields fall and vol spikes together
  2. Mega-cap tech sells off, small caps and value pick up the slack
  3. Stocks grind to records as vol collapses and credit quietly leaks
  4. Risk rallies behind chips and small caps while energy and the dollar diverge
  5. Stocks grind higher as vix falls, yields push toward 5.00 on 10-year
  6. Market close: quantitative read of the session
  7. Megacap tech sells off, bond yields rise, and staples catch the bid
  8. Risk appetite firms as vol drains out and equities grind to fresh highs
  9. Small caps and health care lead while rates back up and mega-cap tech lags
  10. Tech sells off, bonds rally, energy and staples absorb the rotation
  11. Small caps and bonds rally together while curve flattens and gold jumps
  12. Risk-off broadens as Nasdaq drops 2.02% and VIX jumps over 10%
  13. Treasuries rally and flatten while mega-cap tech sells off against them
  14. Stocks rise and yields fall together as curve bull-flattens, breadth confirms
  15. Energy and staples carry the tape while megacap tech absorbs the selling
  16. Stocks grind to a high while bonds sell off and nobody blinks
  17. Equities grind to highs as yields rise and rates vol jumps
  18. Stocks rally and bonds sell off together, and credit does not confirm either
  19. Stocks grind higher as credit and the dollar quietly diverge

September 2026

  1. Curve bear steepens as credit and breadth quietly deteriorate under a flat tape
  2. Curve flattens, credit slips, and gold sells off with breadth this weak
  3. Risk off across the board as growth stocks lead a broad decline
  4. Stocks grind higher into a bear steepener while yields hit fresh highs across the curve
  5. Rates sell off hard, credit follows, equities barely notice yet
  6. Risk-off day: credit, rates vol and small caps sell together as dollar bids
  7. Small caps lead, banks lag, and the S&P closes flat at a record
  8. Stocks rip to highs while yields climb and oil breaks lower
  9. Rates rally, credit doesn't follow, and breadth stays negative under a flat tape
  10. Stocks Rally Broadly While Front-End Yields Push to Fresh Highs
  11. Dollar and yields rise together as financials and energy lead a narrow selloff
  12. Oil Jumps Four Percent While Credit Slides to Session Lows
  13. Curve flattens, credit sets fresh lows, mega-cap tech splits in two
  14. Stocks, bonds and credit sell together as crude oil jumps sharply
  15. Oil spike and credit weakness drag risk into defensive territory
  16. Equities slip on narrow breadth while commodities rally and curve flattens
  17. S&P gains 1.06% on broad breadth while gold and yen also rally
  18. Oil jumps, curve steepens, but gold and credit sell off with equities

August 2026

  1. Bear flattener drags small caps and chipmakers as gold breaks lower
  2. Five stocks carry the S&P higher while breadth turns negative underneath
  3. Rates fall on real yields, dollar firms anyway, breadth stays negative
  4. Credit strength drives a constructive session as crude drops and vol drains out
  5. Market close: quantitative read of the session
  6. Equities broaden and volatility eases while gold prints a record high
  7. Market close: quantitative read of the session